26/03/2026 1:55 am
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So I was looking at some of those sneaker blogs and a couple of Discord groups and they keep mentioning early placeholders for November 2026. My logic was if I start saving now I can grab two pairs but some sites say the 2026 retro releases wont even be part of the Cyber Monday discounts and others say theyll be 25% off. Its super confusing cause:
- one leak says Jordan 4s are coming in a special colorway
- another guy says Nike is cutting back stock big time
I got about 400 bucks set aside for this and really wanna snag some fresh 1s if they actually drop the price. Anyone know if those early leak lists are actually legit or just bait? I dont wanna wait a whole year for nothing...
4 Answers
11
26/03/2026 3:00 am
Totally agree that leaks are bait. In my experience, the app member flash sales are way better. Snagged my Nike Air Max 90 GORE-TEX Anthracite for a steal that way.
10
26/03/2026 1:55 am
In my experience, those early leaks are usually about 60% accurate when you're looking this far ahead. Over the years, I've tracked the inventory data for these Q4 drops and Nike is definitely tightening the supply chain to keep the resale value higher. If you're looking at spending that 400, you gotta weigh the options based on historical SKU performance.
- Nike Air Jordan 1 High OG Retro: Usually sees the best Cyber Monday volume. Historically, these hit that 20-25% off mark because Nike pushes higher stock numbers for 1s. Best bet for your budget.
- Nike Air Jordan 4 Retro: Much tougher to snag on sale. Technical demand for the 4 silhouette usually means they sell out at full retail before the Monday discounts even trigger. I've tried many release day strategies and honestly, if those 4s are a special colorway, dont count on a discount. Focus on the 1s if you want that guaranteed price drop tho...
3
03/04/2026 9:50 am
> dont trust anything until late summer 2026. Keep an eye on the SNKRS app Upcoming tab. Spot on. Most of these leak accounts are basically just farming engagement with Photoshop mockups this far out. If you really want to be methodical about your 400 bucks, you should look at the categories that Nike actually needs to move during Q4. While the Jordan 4s might stay at retail price due to high demand, you can usually find much better reliability with the lifestyle and performance runners during Cyber Monday. If the high-heat retros are a bust, check these out:
- Nike Dunk Low Retro White Black
- These usually have huge restocks around the holidays.
- Nike Pegasus 41 Road Running Shoes
- Always a safe bet for a 30% discount by November.
- Nike Air Max DN All Night
- Since it is a newer silhouette, Nike will likely push inventory with member-only pricing. I agree that waiting for the official SNKRS calendar is the only way to be 100% sure. Better to have the cash ready and pivot to these reliable models if the Jordan 1 prices dont budge.
1
26/03/2026 2:20 am
Ive been looking into this too and honestly, those leaks are pretty shaky this far out. Better to play it safe. If the main retros dont drop in price, you could always grab staples that almost always see Cyber Monday discounts:
- Nike Air Force 1 07 Triple White
- Nike Blazer Mid 77 Vintage Leather Usually those leak sites just want clicks... dont trust anything until late summer 2026. Keep an eye on the SNKRS app Upcoming tab.
